Pan Asia (Thailand) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.95

PAF Stock  THB 0.97  0.03  3.00%   
Pan Asia's future price is the expected price of Pan Asia instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Pan Asia Footwear performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Pan Asia Backtesting, Pan Asia Valuation, Pan Asia Correlation, Pan Asia Hype Analysis, Pan Asia Volatility, Pan Asia History as well as Pan Asia Performance.
  
Please specify Pan Asia's target price for which you would like Pan Asia odds to be computed.

Pan Asia Target Price Odds to finish over 0.95

The tendency of Pan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  0.95  in 90 days
 0.97 90 days 0.95 
roughly 96.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pan Asia to stay above  0.95  in 90 days from now is roughly 96.0 (This Pan Asia Footwear probability density function shows the probability of Pan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pan Asia Footwear price to stay between  0.95  and its current price of 0.97 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.25 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Pan Asia has a beta of 0.21 indicating as returns on the market go up, Pan Asia average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Pan Asia Footwear will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Pan Asia Footwear has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Pan Asia Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Pan Asia

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pan Asia Footwear. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.050.972.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.872.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.020.972.92
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.961.001.03
Details

Pan Asia Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pan Asia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pan Asia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pan Asia Footwear, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pan Asia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.41
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.21
σ
Overall volatility
0.09
Ir
Information ratio -0.22

Pan Asia Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pan Asia for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pan Asia Footwear can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pan Asia Footwear generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Pan Asia Footwear has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company reported the revenue of 675.04 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.94 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 86.24 M.
About 58.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Pan Asia Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Pan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pan Asia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pan Asia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding540 M

Pan Asia Technical Analysis

Pan Asia's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pan Asia Footwear. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Pan Asia Predictive Forecast Models

Pan Asia's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pan Asia's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pan Asia's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Pan Asia Footwear

Checking the ongoing alerts about Pan Asia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pan Asia Footwear help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pan Asia Footwear generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Pan Asia Footwear has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company reported the revenue of 675.04 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.94 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 86.24 M.
About 58.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Pan Stock

Pan Asia financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pan with respect to the benefits of owning Pan Asia security.