Minna Padi (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 14.69

PADI Stock  IDR 10.00  1.00  9.09%   
Minna Padi's future price is the expected price of Minna Padi instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Minna Padi Investama performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Minna Padi Backtesting, Minna Padi Valuation, Minna Padi Correlation, Minna Padi Hype Analysis, Minna Padi Volatility, Minna Padi History as well as Minna Padi Performance.
  
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Minna Padi Target Price Odds to finish over 14.69

The tendency of Minna Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  14.69  or more in 90 days
 10.00 90 days 14.69 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Minna Padi to move over  14.69  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Minna Padi Investama probability density function shows the probability of Minna Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Minna Padi Investama price to stay between its current price of  10.00  and  14.69  at the end of the 90-day period is about 32.56 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Minna Padi Investama has a beta of -0.75 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Minna Padi are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Minna Padi Investama is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Minna Padi Investama has an alpha of 0.4064, implying that it can generate a 0.41 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Minna Padi Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Minna Padi

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Minna Padi Investama. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.9510.0016.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.358.4014.45
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.819.8615.91
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.689.9711.26
Details

Minna Padi Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Minna Padi is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Minna Padi's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Minna Padi Investama, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Minna Padi within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.41
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.75
σ
Overall volatility
0.73
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Minna Padi Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Minna Padi for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Minna Padi Investama can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Minna Padi Investama had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 6.38 B. Net Loss for the year was (56.33 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (43.85 B).

Minna Padi Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Minna Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Minna Padi's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Minna Padi's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding11.3 B
Cash And Short Term Investments7.7 B

Minna Padi Technical Analysis

Minna Padi's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Minna Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Minna Padi Investama. In general, you should focus on analyzing Minna Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Minna Padi Predictive Forecast Models

Minna Padi's time-series forecasting models is one of many Minna Padi's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Minna Padi's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Minna Padi Investama

Checking the ongoing alerts about Minna Padi for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Minna Padi Investama help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Minna Padi Investama had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 6.38 B. Net Loss for the year was (56.33 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (43.85 B).

Other Information on Investing in Minna Stock

Minna Padi financial ratios help investors to determine whether Minna Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Minna with respect to the benefits of owning Minna Padi security.