Proact IT (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 129.26

PACT Stock  SEK 129.80  1.00  0.76%   
Proact IT's future price is the expected price of Proact IT instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Proact IT Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Proact IT Backtesting, Proact IT Valuation, Proact IT Correlation, Proact IT Hype Analysis, Proact IT Volatility, Proact IT History as well as Proact IT Performance.
  
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Proact IT Target Price Odds to finish below 129.26

The tendency of Proact Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to kr 129.26  or more in 90 days
 129.80 90 days 129.26 
about 6.49
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Proact IT to drop to kr 129.26  or more in 90 days from now is about 6.49 (This Proact IT Group probability density function shows the probability of Proact Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Proact IT Group price to stay between kr 129.26  and its current price of kr129.8 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Proact IT Group has a beta of -0.13 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Proact IT are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Proact IT Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Proact IT Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Proact IT Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Proact IT

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Proact IT Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
128.29129.80131.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
112.27113.78142.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
128.23129.74131.25
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
127.57132.70137.83
Details

Proact IT Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Proact IT is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Proact IT's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Proact IT Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Proact IT within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.13
σ
Overall volatility
7.97
Ir
Information ratio -0.23

Proact IT Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Proact IT for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Proact IT Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Proact IT Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 14.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Proact IT Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Proact Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Proact IT's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Proact IT's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding107.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments463.9 M

Proact IT Technical Analysis

Proact IT's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Proact Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Proact IT Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Proact Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Proact IT Predictive Forecast Models

Proact IT's time-series forecasting models is one of many Proact IT's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Proact IT's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Proact IT Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about Proact IT for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Proact IT Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Proact IT Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 14.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for Proact Stock Analysis

When running Proact IT's price analysis, check to measure Proact IT's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Proact IT is operating at the current time. Most of Proact IT's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Proact IT's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Proact IT's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Proact IT to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.