Oxford Square Capital Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 18.10
| OXSQG Stock | USD 23.30 0.10 0.43% |
Oxford |
Oxford Square Target Price Odds to finish below 18.10
The tendency of Oxford Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 18.10 or more in 90 days |
| 23.30 | 90 days | 18.10 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Oxford Square to drop to $ 18.10 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Oxford Square Capital probability density function shows the probability of Oxford Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Oxford Square Capital price to stay between $ 18.10 and its current price of $23.3 at the end of the 90-day period is about 60.81 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Oxford Square Capital has a beta of -0.0343. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Oxford Square are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Oxford Square Capital is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Oxford Square Capital has an alpha of 0.0131, implying that it can generate a 0.0131 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Oxford Square Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Oxford Square
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oxford Square Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Oxford Square Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Oxford Square is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Oxford Square's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Oxford Square Capital, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Oxford Square within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.18 |
Oxford Square Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Oxford Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Oxford Square's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Oxford Square's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 63.5 M | |
| Dividends Paid | -25.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 34.9 T |
Oxford Square Technical Analysis
Oxford Square's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Oxford Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Oxford Square Capital. In general, you should focus on analyzing Oxford Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Oxford Square Predictive Forecast Models
Oxford Square's time-series forecasting models is one of many Oxford Square's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Oxford Square's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Oxford Square in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Oxford Square's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Oxford Square options trading.
Check out Oxford Square Backtesting, Oxford Square Valuation, Oxford Square Correlation, Oxford Square Hype Analysis, Oxford Square Volatility, Oxford Square History as well as Oxford Square Performance. You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Oxford Square. If investors know Oxford will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Oxford Square listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Oxford Square Capital is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Oxford that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Oxford Square's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Oxford Square's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Oxford Square's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Oxford Square's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Oxford Square's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Oxford Square is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Oxford Square's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.