1ws Credit Income Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 20.29

OWSCX Fund  USD 19.31  0.01  0.05%   
1ws Credit's future price is the expected price of 1ws Credit instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of 1ws Credit Income performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out 1ws Credit Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, 1ws Credit Correlation, 1ws Credit Hype Analysis, 1ws Credit Volatility, 1ws Credit History as well as 1ws Credit Performance.
  
Please specify 1ws Credit's target price for which you would like 1ws Credit odds to be computed.

1ws Credit Target Price Odds to finish over 20.29

The tendency of 1ws Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 20.29  or more in 90 days
 19.31 90 days 20.29 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 1ws Credit to move over $ 20.29  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This 1ws Credit Income probability density function shows the probability of 1ws Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of 1ws Credit Income price to stay between its current price of $ 19.31  and $ 20.29  at the end of the 90-day period is about 91.69 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon 1ws Credit has a beta of 0.0489. This indicates as returns on the market go up, 1ws Credit average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding 1ws Credit Income will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally 1ws Credit Income has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   1ws Credit Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for 1ws Credit

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as 1ws Credit Income. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of 1ws Credit's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.0619.3119.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.0119.2619.51
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.8419.0919.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.2619.5019.75
Details

1ws Credit Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 1ws Credit is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 1ws Credit's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold 1ws Credit Income, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 1ws Credit within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0072
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.05
σ
Overall volatility
0.13
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

1ws Credit Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 1ws Credit for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for 1ws Credit Income can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
1ws Credit Income generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

1ws Credit Technical Analysis

1ws Credit's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 1ws Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of 1ws Credit Income. In general, you should focus on analyzing 1ws Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

1ws Credit Predictive Forecast Models

1ws Credit's time-series forecasting models is one of many 1ws Credit's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 1ws Credit's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about 1ws Credit Income

Checking the ongoing alerts about 1ws Credit for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for 1ws Credit Income help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
1ws Credit Income generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in 1ws Mutual Fund

1ws Credit financial ratios help investors to determine whether 1ws Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 1ws with respect to the benefits of owning 1ws Credit security.
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