Oracle (Germany) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 159.38
| ORC Stock | EUR 164.14 2.66 1.65% |
Oracle |
Oracle Target Price Odds to finish below 159.38
The tendency of Oracle Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 159.38 or more in 90 days |
| 164.14 | 90 days | 159.38 | about 27.82 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Oracle to drop to € 159.38 or more in 90 days from now is about 27.82 (This Oracle probability density function shows the probability of Oracle Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Oracle price to stay between € 159.38 and its current price of €164.14 at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.83 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Oracle has a beta of 0.38. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Oracle average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Oracle will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Oracle has an alpha of 0.1326, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Oracle Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Oracle
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oracle. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Oracle Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Oracle is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Oracle's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Oracle, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Oracle within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.38 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 10.51 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Oracle Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Oracle for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Oracle can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Oracle has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 43.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Oracle Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Oracle Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Oracle's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Oracle's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.7 B |
Oracle Technical Analysis
Oracle's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Oracle Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Oracle. In general, you should focus on analyzing Oracle Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Oracle Predictive Forecast Models
Oracle's time-series forecasting models is one of many Oracle's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Oracle's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Oracle
Checking the ongoing alerts about Oracle for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Oracle help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Oracle has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 43.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Oracle Stock
When determining whether Oracle is a strong investment it is important to analyze Oracle's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Oracle's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Oracle Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Oracle Backtesting, Oracle Valuation, Oracle Correlation, Oracle Hype Analysis, Oracle Volatility, Oracle History as well as Oracle Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Oracle Stock please use our How to Invest in Oracle guide.You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.