Orange Sa Adr Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 10.14
| ORAN Stock | USD 13,200 13,190 135,424% |
Orange |
Orange SA Target Price Odds to finish below 10.14
The tendency of Orange Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 10.14 or more in 90 days |
| 13,200 | 90 days | 10.14 | about 23.65 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Orange SA to drop to $ 10.14 or more in 90 days from now is about 23.65 (This Orange SA ADR probability density function shows the probability of Orange Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Orange SA ADR price to stay between $ 10.14 and its current price of $13200.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 87.1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Orange SA ADR has a beta of -0.23. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Orange SA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Orange SA ADR is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Orange SA ADR has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Orange SA Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Orange SA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Orange SA ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Orange SA Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Orange SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Orange SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Orange SA ADR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Orange SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.3 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.23 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.52 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.25 |
Orange SA Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Orange SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Orange SA ADR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Orange SA ADR is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Orange SA ADR is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Orange SA ADR appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Orange SA ADR currently holds 8.57 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.26, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Orange SA ADR has a current ratio of 0.95, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Orange SA's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. |
Orange SA Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Orange Stock of