Oak Harvest Longshrt Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 10.93
| OHFGX Fund | 11.49 0.07 0.61% |
Oak |
Oak Harvest Target Price Odds to finish below 10.93
The tendency of Oak Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 10.93 or more in 90 days |
| 11.49 | 90 days | 10.93 | about 13.66 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Oak Harvest to drop to 10.93 or more in 90 days from now is about 13.66 (This Oak Harvest Longshrt probability density function shows the probability of Oak Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Oak Harvest Longshrt price to stay between 10.93 and its current price of 11.49 at the end of the 90-day period is about 75.5 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Oak Harvest has a beta of 0.48. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Oak Harvest average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Oak Harvest Longshrt will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Oak Harvest Longshrt has an alpha of 0.0477, implying that it can generate a 0.0477 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Oak Harvest Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Oak Harvest
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oak Harvest Longshrt. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Oak Harvest Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Oak Harvest is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Oak Harvest's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Oak Harvest Longshrt, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Oak Harvest within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.48 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.24 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Oak Harvest Technical Analysis
Oak Harvest's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Oak Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Oak Harvest Longshrt. In general, you should focus on analyzing Oak Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Oak Harvest Predictive Forecast Models
Oak Harvest's time-series forecasting models is one of many Oak Harvest's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Oak Harvest's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Oak Harvest in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Oak Harvest's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Oak Harvest options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Oak Mutual Fund
Oak Harvest financial ratios help investors to determine whether Oak Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Oak with respect to the benefits of owning Oak Harvest security.
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