Oppenheimer Gold Special Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 19.45
| OGMCX Fund | USD 25.55 0.03 0.12% |
Oppenheimer |
Oppenheimer Gold Target Price Odds to finish below 19.45
The tendency of Oppenheimer Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 19.45 or more in 90 days |
| 25.55 | 90 days | 19.45 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Oppenheimer Gold to drop to $ 19.45 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Oppenheimer Gold Special probability density function shows the probability of Oppenheimer Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Oppenheimer Gold Special price to stay between $ 19.45 and its current price of $25.55 at the end of the 90-day period is about 44.83 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Oppenheimer Gold has a beta of 0.0922. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Oppenheimer Gold average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Oppenheimer Gold Special will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Oppenheimer Gold Special has an alpha of 0.1562, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Oppenheimer Gold Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Oppenheimer Gold
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oppenheimer Gold Special. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Oppenheimer Gold's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Oppenheimer Gold Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Oppenheimer Gold is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Oppenheimer Gold's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Oppenheimer Gold Special, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Oppenheimer Gold within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.16 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Oppenheimer Gold Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Oppenheimer Gold for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Oppenheimer Gold Special can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund generated-3.0 ten year return of -3.0% | |
| Oppenheimer Gold Special maintains 98.26% of its assets in stocks |
Oppenheimer Gold Technical Analysis
Oppenheimer Gold's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Oppenheimer Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Oppenheimer Gold Special. In general, you should focus on analyzing Oppenheimer Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Oppenheimer Gold Predictive Forecast Models
Oppenheimer Gold's time-series forecasting models is one of many Oppenheimer Gold's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Oppenheimer Gold's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Oppenheimer Gold Special
Checking the ongoing alerts about Oppenheimer Gold for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Oppenheimer Gold Special help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund generated-3.0 ten year return of -3.0% | |
| Oppenheimer Gold Special maintains 98.26% of its assets in stocks |
Other Information on Investing in Oppenheimer Mutual Fund
Oppenheimer Gold financial ratios help investors to determine whether Oppenheimer Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Oppenheimer with respect to the benefits of owning Oppenheimer Gold security.
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