ODAS Elektrik (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 6.41
| ODAS Stock | TRY 6.31 0.10 1.56% |
ODAS |
ODAS Elektrik Target Price Odds to finish below 6.41
The tendency of ODAS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 6.41 after 90 days |
| 6.31 | 90 days | 6.41 | about 71.45 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ODAS Elektrik to stay under 6.41 after 90 days from now is about 71.45 (This ODAS Elektrik Uretim probability density function shows the probability of ODAS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ODAS Elektrik Uretim price to stay between its current price of 6.31 and 6.41 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.56 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ODAS Elektrik has a beta of 0.17. This indicates as returns on the market go up, ODAS Elektrik average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ODAS Elektrik Uretim will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ODAS Elektrik Uretim has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. ODAS Elektrik Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for ODAS Elektrik
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ODAS Elektrik Uretim. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ODAS Elektrik Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ODAS Elektrik is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ODAS Elektrik's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ODAS Elektrik Uretim, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ODAS Elektrik within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.42 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
ODAS Elektrik Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ODAS Elektrik for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ODAS Elektrik Uretim can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ODAS Elektrik Uretim generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| ODAS Elektrik Uretim has accumulated 1.78 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.17, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. ODAS Elektrik Uretim has a current ratio of 0.57, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist ODAS Elektrik until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, ODAS Elektrik's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like ODAS Elektrik Uretim sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for ODAS to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about ODAS Elektrik's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 21.0% of ODAS Elektrik outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
ODAS Elektrik Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ODAS Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ODAS Elektrik's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ODAS Elektrik's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.4 B |
ODAS Elektrik Technical Analysis
ODAS Elektrik's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ODAS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ODAS Elektrik Uretim. In general, you should focus on analyzing ODAS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ODAS Elektrik Predictive Forecast Models
ODAS Elektrik's time-series forecasting models is one of many ODAS Elektrik's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ODAS Elektrik's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about ODAS Elektrik Uretim
Checking the ongoing alerts about ODAS Elektrik for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ODAS Elektrik Uretim help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| ODAS Elektrik Uretim generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| ODAS Elektrik Uretim has accumulated 1.78 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.17, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. ODAS Elektrik Uretim has a current ratio of 0.57, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist ODAS Elektrik until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, ODAS Elektrik's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like ODAS Elektrik Uretim sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for ODAS to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about ODAS Elektrik's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 21.0% of ODAS Elektrik outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Tools for ODAS Stock Analysis
When running ODAS Elektrik's price analysis, check to measure ODAS Elektrik's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ODAS Elektrik is operating at the current time. Most of ODAS Elektrik's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ODAS Elektrik's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ODAS Elektrik's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ODAS Elektrik to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.