Realty Income Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 55.78
| O Stock | USD 53.00 0.21 0.40% |
Realty |
Realty Income Target Price Odds to finish below 55.78
The tendency of Realty Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 55.78 after 90 days |
| 53.00 | 90 days | 55.78 | about 19.66 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Realty Income to stay under $ 55.78 after 90 days from now is about 19.66 (This Realty Income probability density function shows the probability of Realty Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Realty Income price to stay between its current price of $ 53.00 and $ 55.78 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.44 .
Taking into account the 90-day investment horizon Realty Income has a beta of 0.21. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Realty Income average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Realty Income will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Realty Income has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Realty Income Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Realty Income
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Realty Income. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Realty Income Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Realty Income is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Realty Income's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Realty Income, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Realty Income within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.24 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.23 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.24 |
Realty Income Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Realty Income for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Realty Income can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Realty Income generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 13th of December 2024 Realty Income paid $ 0.26 per share dividend to its current shareholders |
Realty Income Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Realty Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Realty Income's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Realty Income's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 693 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 232.9 M |
Realty Income Technical Analysis
Realty Income's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Realty Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Realty Income. In general, you should focus on analyzing Realty Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Realty Income Predictive Forecast Models
Realty Income's time-series forecasting models is one of many Realty Income's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Realty Income's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Realty Income
Checking the ongoing alerts about Realty Income for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Realty Income help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Realty Income generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 13th of December 2024 Realty Income paid $ 0.26 per share dividend to its current shareholders |
Check out Realty Income Backtesting, Realty Income Valuation, Realty Income Correlation, Realty Income Hype Analysis, Realty Income Volatility, Realty Income History as well as Realty Income Performance. To learn how to invest in Realty Stock, please use our How to Invest in Realty Income guide.You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
Is Retail REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Realty Income. If investors know Realty will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Realty Income listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Realty Income is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Realty that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Realty Income's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Realty Income's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Realty Income's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Realty Income's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Realty Income's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Realty Income is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Realty Income's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.