Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 20.79

NYUKFDelisted Stock  USD 23.43  0.00  0.00%   
Nippon Yusen's future price is the expected price of Nippon Yusen instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Nippon Yusen Kabushiki performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in industry.
  
Please specify Nippon Yusen's target price for which you would like Nippon Yusen odds to be computed.

Nippon Yusen Target Price Odds to finish below 20.79

The tendency of Nippon Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 20.79  or more in 90 days
 23.43 90 days 20.79 
roughly 2.37
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nippon Yusen to drop to $ 20.79  or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.37 (This Nippon Yusen Kabushiki probability density function shows the probability of Nippon Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nippon Yusen Kabushiki price to stay between $ 20.79  and its current price of $23.43 at the end of the 90-day period is about 45.56 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Nippon Yusen Kabushiki has a beta of -0.5. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Nippon Yusen are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Nippon Yusen Kabushiki is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Nippon Yusen Kabushiki has an alpha of 0.4496, implying that it can generate a 0.45 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Nippon Yusen Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Nippon Yusen

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nippon Yusen Kabushiki. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.4323.4323.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.9219.9225.77
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
23.8723.8723.87
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.7923.0925.39
Details

Nippon Yusen Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nippon Yusen is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nippon Yusen's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nippon Yusen Kabushiki, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nippon Yusen within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.45
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.5
σ
Overall volatility
1.37
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Nippon Yusen Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nippon Yusen for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nippon Yusen Kabushiki can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nippon Yusen is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Nippon Yusen has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years

Nippon Yusen Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nippon Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nippon Yusen's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nippon Yusen's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding168.9 M

Nippon Yusen Technical Analysis

Nippon Yusen's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nippon Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nippon Yusen Kabushiki. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nippon Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Nippon Yusen Predictive Forecast Models

Nippon Yusen's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nippon Yusen's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nippon Yusen's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Nippon Yusen Kabushiki

Checking the ongoing alerts about Nippon Yusen for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nippon Yusen Kabushiki help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nippon Yusen is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Nippon Yusen has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in industry.
You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.

Other Consideration for investing in Nippon Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Nippon Yusen Kabushiki check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Nippon Yusen's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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