National Western Life Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 456.44
| NWLIDelisted Stock | USD 499.98 0.28 0.06% |
National |
National Western Target Price Odds to finish below 456.44
The tendency of National Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 456.44 or more in 90 days |
| 499.98 | 90 days | 456.44 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of National Western to drop to $ 456.44 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This National Western Life probability density function shows the probability of National Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of National Western Life price to stay between $ 456.44 and its current price of $499.98 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days National Western Life has a beta of -0.0384. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding National Western are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, National Western Life is likely to outperform the market. Additionally National Western Life has an alpha of 0.0133, implying that it can generate a 0.0133 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). National Western Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for National Western
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as National Western Life. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.National Western Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. National Western is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the National Western's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold National Western Life, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of National Western within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.21 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
National Western Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of National Western for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for National Western Life can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| National Western is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| National Western has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Over 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
National Western Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of National Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential National Western's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. National Western's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.5 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 1.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.6 B |
National Western Technical Analysis
National Western's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. National Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of National Western Life. In general, you should focus on analyzing National Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
National Western Predictive Forecast Models
National Western's time-series forecasting models is one of many National Western's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary National Western's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about National Western Life
Checking the ongoing alerts about National Western for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for National Western Life help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| National Western is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| National Western has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Over 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis. You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Other Consideration for investing in National Stock
If you are still planning to invest in National Western Life check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the National Western's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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