Nuveen Amt Free Municipal Fund Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 12.58
| NUW Fund | USD 13.75 0.14 1.03% |
Nuveen |
Nuveen Amt Target Price Odds to finish below 12.58
The tendency of Nuveen Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 12.58 or more in 90 days |
| 13.75 | 90 days | 12.58 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nuveen Amt to drop to $ 12.58 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Nuveen Amt Free Municipal probability density function shows the probability of Nuveen Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nuveen Amt Free price to stay between $ 12.58 and its current price of $13.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 69.12 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Nuveen Amt has a beta of 0.0534. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Nuveen Amt average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Nuveen Amt Free Municipal will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Nuveen Amt Free Municipal has an alpha of 0.0639, implying that it can generate a 0.0639 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Nuveen Amt Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Nuveen Amt
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nuveen Amt Free. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nuveen Amt's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Nuveen Amt Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nuveen Amt is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nuveen Amt's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nuveen Amt Free Municipal, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nuveen Amt within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.32 |
Nuveen Amt Technical Analysis
Nuveen Amt's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nuveen Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nuveen Amt Free Municipal. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nuveen Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Nuveen Amt Predictive Forecast Models
Nuveen Amt's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nuveen Amt's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nuveen Amt's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Nuveen Amt in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Nuveen Amt's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Nuveen Amt options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Nuveen Fund
Nuveen Amt financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nuveen Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nuveen with respect to the benefits of owning Nuveen Amt security.
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