Nuveen Intermediate Duration Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 8.63

NUVBX Fund  USD 8.96  0.01  0.11%   
Nuveen Intermediate's future price is the expected price of Nuveen Intermediate instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Nuveen Intermediate Duration performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Nuveen Intermediate Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Nuveen Intermediate Correlation, Nuveen Intermediate Hype Analysis, Nuveen Intermediate Volatility, Nuveen Intermediate History as well as Nuveen Intermediate Performance.
  
Please specify Nuveen Intermediate's target price for which you would like Nuveen Intermediate odds to be computed.

Nuveen Intermediate Target Price Odds to finish over 8.63

The tendency of Nuveen Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 8.63  in 90 days
 8.96 90 days 8.63 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nuveen Intermediate to stay above $ 8.63  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Nuveen Intermediate Duration probability density function shows the probability of Nuveen Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nuveen Intermediate price to stay between $ 8.63  and its current price of $8.96 at the end of the 90-day period is about 88.99 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Nuveen Intermediate Duration has a beta of -0.0936. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Nuveen Intermediate are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Nuveen Intermediate Duration is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Nuveen Intermediate Duration has an alpha of 0.005, implying that it can generate a 0.004985 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Nuveen Intermediate Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Nuveen Intermediate

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nuveen Intermediate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.748.969.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.418.639.86
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.738.959.17
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.878.918.95
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Nuveen Intermediate. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Nuveen Intermediate's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Nuveen Intermediate's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Nuveen Intermediate.

Nuveen Intermediate Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nuveen Intermediate is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nuveen Intermediate's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nuveen Intermediate Duration, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nuveen Intermediate within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.09
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.5

Nuveen Intermediate Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nuveen Intermediate for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nuveen Intermediate can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 96.79% of its assets in bonds

Nuveen Intermediate Technical Analysis

Nuveen Intermediate's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nuveen Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nuveen Intermediate Duration. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nuveen Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Nuveen Intermediate Predictive Forecast Models

Nuveen Intermediate's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nuveen Intermediate's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nuveen Intermediate's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Nuveen Intermediate

Checking the ongoing alerts about Nuveen Intermediate for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nuveen Intermediate help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 96.79% of its assets in bonds

Other Information on Investing in Nuveen Mutual Fund

Nuveen Intermediate financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nuveen Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nuveen with respect to the benefits of owning Nuveen Intermediate security.
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