Netsol Technologies Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 9.41
| NTWK Stock | USD 2.62 0.15 5.42% |
NetSol |
NetSol Technologies Target Price Odds to finish over 9.41
The tendency of NetSol Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 9.41 or more in 90 days |
| 2.62 | 90 days | 9.41 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NetSol Technologies to move over $ 9.41 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This NetSol Technologies probability density function shows the probability of NetSol Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of NetSol Technologies price to stay between its current price of $ 2.62 and $ 9.41 at the end of the 90-day period is about 88.31 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days NetSol Technologies has a beta of -0.11. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding NetSol Technologies are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, NetSol Technologies is likely to outperform the market. Additionally NetSol Technologies has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. NetSol Technologies Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for NetSol Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NetSol Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NetSol Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
NetSol Technologies Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NetSol Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NetSol Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NetSol Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NetSol Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.21 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
NetSol Technologies Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NetSol Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NetSol Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| NetSol Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 22.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of tradable shares by Kazmi Syed Kausar of NetSol Technologies subject to Rule 16b-3 |
NetSol Technologies Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NetSol Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential NetSol Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NetSol Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 19.1 M |
NetSol Technologies Technical Analysis
NetSol Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NetSol Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NetSol Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing NetSol Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.