Investo Teva (Brazil) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 54.38
| NTNS11 Etf | 55.69 0.03 0.05% |
Investo |
Investo Teva Target Price Odds to finish below 54.38
The tendency of Investo Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 54.38 or more in 90 days |
| 55.69 | 90 days | 54.38 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Investo Teva to drop to 54.38 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Investo Teva Tesouro probability density function shows the probability of Investo Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Investo Teva Tesouro price to stay between 54.38 and its current price of 55.69 at the end of the 90-day period is about 87.75 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Investo Teva Tesouro has a beta of -0.0156. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Investo Teva are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Investo Teva Tesouro is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Investo Teva Tesouro has an alpha of 0.0135, implying that it can generate a 0.0135 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Investo Teva Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Investo Teva
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Investo Teva Tesouro. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Investo Teva Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Investo Teva is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Investo Teva's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Investo Teva Tesouro, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Investo Teva within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.4 |
Investo Teva Technical Analysis
Investo Teva's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Investo Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Investo Teva Tesouro. In general, you should focus on analyzing Investo Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Investo Teva Predictive Forecast Models
Investo Teva's time-series forecasting models is one of many Investo Teva's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Investo Teva's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Investo Teva in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Investo Teva's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Investo Teva options trading.