North Carolina Tax Free Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 10.75

NTFIX Fund  USD 10.84  0.01  0.09%   
North Carolina's future price is the expected price of North Carolina instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of North Carolina Tax Free performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out North Carolina Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, North Carolina Correlation, North Carolina Hype Analysis, North Carolina Volatility, North Carolina History as well as North Carolina Performance.
  
Please specify North Carolina's target price for which you would like North Carolina odds to be computed.

North Carolina Target Price Odds to finish over 10.75

The tendency of North Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 10.75  in 90 days
 10.84 90 days 10.75 
about 57.77
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of North Carolina to stay above $ 10.75  in 90 days from now is about 57.77 (This North Carolina Tax Free probability density function shows the probability of North Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of North Carolina Tax price to stay between $ 10.75  and its current price of $10.84 at the end of the 90-day period is about 51.93 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon North Carolina has a beta of 0.0489. This indicates as returns on the market go up, North Carolina average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding North Carolina Tax Free will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally North Carolina Tax Free has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   North Carolina Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for North Carolina

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as North Carolina Tax. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.6310.8411.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.3410.5511.92
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.6110.8211.03
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.7510.7910.83
Details

North Carolina Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. North Carolina is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the North Carolina's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold North Carolina Tax Free, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of North Carolina within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0038
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.05
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.64

North Carolina Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of North Carolina for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for North Carolina Tax can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
North Carolina Tax maintains about 100.0% of its assets in bonds

North Carolina Technical Analysis

North Carolina's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. North Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of North Carolina Tax Free. In general, you should focus on analyzing North Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

North Carolina Predictive Forecast Models

North Carolina's time-series forecasting models is one of many North Carolina's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary North Carolina's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about North Carolina Tax

Checking the ongoing alerts about North Carolina for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for North Carolina Tax help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
North Carolina Tax maintains about 100.0% of its assets in bonds

Other Information on Investing in North Mutual Fund

North Carolina financial ratios help investors to determine whether North Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in North with respect to the benefits of owning North Carolina security.
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