NetApp (Germany) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 119.73

NTA Stock  EUR 115.00  2.70  2.40%   
NetApp's future price is the expected price of NetApp instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of NetApp Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out NetApp Backtesting, NetApp Valuation, NetApp Correlation, NetApp Hype Analysis, NetApp Volatility, NetApp History as well as NetApp Performance.
  
Please specify NetApp's target price for which you would like NetApp odds to be computed.

NetApp Target Price Odds to finish below 119.73

The tendency of NetApp Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under € 119.73  after 90 days
 115.00 90 days 119.73 
about 92.66
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NetApp to stay under € 119.73  after 90 days from now is about 92.66 (This NetApp Inc probability density function shows the probability of NetApp Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of NetApp Inc price to stay between its current price of € 115.00  and € 119.73  at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.57 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon NetApp has a beta of 0.79. This indicates as returns on the market go up, NetApp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding NetApp Inc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally NetApp Inc has an alpha of 0.1338, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   NetApp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for NetApp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NetApp Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
112.75115.00117.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
112.46114.71116.96
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
111.09113.34115.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
108.65116.34124.02
Details

NetApp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NetApp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NetApp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NetApp Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NetApp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.79
σ
Overall volatility
4.80
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

NetApp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NetApp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NetApp Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NetApp Inc has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

NetApp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NetApp Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential NetApp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NetApp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding222.5 M

NetApp Technical Analysis

NetApp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NetApp Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NetApp Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing NetApp Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

NetApp Predictive Forecast Models

NetApp's time-series forecasting models is one of many NetApp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NetApp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about NetApp Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about NetApp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NetApp Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NetApp Inc has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in NetApp Stock

When determining whether NetApp Inc is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if NetApp Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Netapp Inc Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Netapp Inc Stock:
Check out NetApp Backtesting, NetApp Valuation, NetApp Correlation, NetApp Hype Analysis, NetApp Volatility, NetApp History as well as NetApp Performance.
You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
Please note, there is a significant difference between NetApp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if NetApp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NetApp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.