Nsts Bancorp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 7.33
| NSTS Stock | USD 11.79 0.04 0.34% |
NSTS |
NSTS Bancorp Target Price Odds to finish below 7.33
The tendency of NSTS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 7.33 or more in 90 days |
| 11.79 | 90 days | 7.33 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NSTS Bancorp to drop to $ 7.33 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This NSTS Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of NSTS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of NSTS Bancorp price to stay between $ 7.33 and its current price of $11.79 at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days NSTS Bancorp has a beta of -0.18. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding NSTS Bancorp are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, NSTS Bancorp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally NSTS Bancorp has an alpha of 0.1671, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). NSTS Bancorp Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for NSTS Bancorp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NSTS Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NSTS Bancorp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
NSTS Bancorp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NSTS Bancorp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NSTS Bancorp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NSTS Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NSTS Bancorp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.36 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
NSTS Bancorp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NSTS Bancorp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NSTS Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.89 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.96 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.33 M. | |
| About 16.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: NSTS Bancorp stock hits 52-week high at 11.61 amid growth - Investing.com |
NSTS Bancorp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NSTS Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential NSTS Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NSTS Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 83.1 M |
NSTS Bancorp Technical Analysis
NSTS Bancorp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NSTS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NSTS Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing NSTS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
NSTS Bancorp Predictive Forecast Models
NSTS Bancorp's time-series forecasting models is one of many NSTS Bancorp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NSTS Bancorp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about NSTS Bancorp
Checking the ongoing alerts about NSTS Bancorp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NSTS Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.89 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.96 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.33 M. | |
| About 16.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: NSTS Bancorp stock hits 52-week high at 11.61 amid growth - Investing.com |
Additional Tools for NSTS Stock Analysis
When running NSTS Bancorp's price analysis, check to measure NSTS Bancorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NSTS Bancorp is operating at the current time. Most of NSTS Bancorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NSTS Bancorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NSTS Bancorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NSTS Bancorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.