Nishi Nippon (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 14.8

NNR Stock  EUR 14.00  0.10  0.71%   
Nishi Nippon's future price is the expected price of Nishi Nippon instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Nishi Nippon Railroad Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Nishi Nippon Backtesting, Nishi Nippon Valuation, Nishi Nippon Correlation, Nishi Nippon Hype Analysis, Nishi Nippon Volatility, Nishi Nippon History as well as Nishi Nippon Performance.
  
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Nishi Nippon Target Price Odds to finish below 14.8

The tendency of Nishi Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under € 14.80  after 90 days
 14.00 90 days 14.80 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nishi Nippon to stay under € 14.80  after 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Nishi Nippon Railroad Co probability density function shows the probability of Nishi Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nishi Nippon Railroad price to stay between its current price of € 14.00  and € 14.80  at the end of the 90-day period is about 33.32 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Nishi Nippon Railroad Co has a beta of -0.15. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Nishi Nippon are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Nishi Nippon Railroad Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Nishi Nippon Railroad Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Nishi Nippon Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Nishi Nippon

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nishi Nippon Railroad. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.6214.0015.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.1913.5714.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.9313.3114.68
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.0913.9514.80
Details

Nishi Nippon Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nishi Nippon is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nishi Nippon's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nishi Nippon Railroad Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nishi Nippon within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.15
σ
Overall volatility
0.48
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Nishi Nippon Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nishi Nippon for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nishi Nippon Railroad can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nishi Nippon generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Nishi Nippon has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Nishi Nippon Railroad Co has accumulated 298.89 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 136.7, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Nishi Nippon Railroad has a current ratio of 0.79, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Nishi Nippon until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Nishi Nippon's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Nishi Nippon Railroad sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Nishi to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Nishi Nippon's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Nishi Nippon Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nishi Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nishi Nippon's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nishi Nippon's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding78.8 M

Nishi Nippon Technical Analysis

Nishi Nippon's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nishi Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nishi Nippon Railroad Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nishi Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Nishi Nippon Predictive Forecast Models

Nishi Nippon's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nishi Nippon's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nishi Nippon's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Nishi Nippon Railroad

Checking the ongoing alerts about Nishi Nippon for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nishi Nippon Railroad help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nishi Nippon generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Nishi Nippon has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Nishi Nippon Railroad Co has accumulated 298.89 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 136.7, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Nishi Nippon Railroad has a current ratio of 0.79, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Nishi Nippon until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Nishi Nippon's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Nishi Nippon Railroad sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Nishi to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Nishi Nippon's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Other Information on Investing in Nishi Stock

Nishi Nippon financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nishi Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nishi with respect to the benefits of owning Nishi Nippon security.