Nishi-Nippon Railroad (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 13.00
| NNR Stock | EUR 14.30 0.20 1.42% |
Nishi-Nippon |
Nishi-Nippon Railroad Target Price Odds to finish below 13.00
The tendency of Nishi-Nippon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 13.00 or more in 90 days |
| 14.30 | 90 days | 13.00 | about 5.03 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nishi-Nippon Railroad to drop to € 13.00 or more in 90 days from now is about 5.03 (This Nishi Nippon Railroad Co probability density function shows the probability of Nishi-Nippon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nishi Nippon Railroad price to stay between € 13.00 and its current price of €14.3 at the end of the 90-day period is about 75.54 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Nishi-Nippon Railroad has a beta of 0.13. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Nishi-Nippon Railroad average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Nishi Nippon Railroad Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Nishi Nippon Railroad Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Nishi-Nippon Railroad Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Nishi-Nippon Railroad
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nishi Nippon Railroad. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Nishi-Nippon Railroad Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nishi-Nippon Railroad is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nishi-Nippon Railroad's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nishi Nippon Railroad Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nishi-Nippon Railroad within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.52 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Nishi-Nippon Railroad Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nishi-Nippon Railroad for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nishi Nippon Railroad can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Nishi-Nippon Railroad generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Nishi-Nippon Railroad has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Nishi Nippon Railroad Co has accumulated 298.89 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 136.7, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Nishi Nippon Railroad has a current ratio of 0.79, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Nishi-Nippon Railroad until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Nishi-Nippon Railroad's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Nishi Nippon Railroad sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Nishi-Nippon to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Nishi-Nippon Railroad's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Nishi-Nippon Railroad Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nishi-Nippon Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nishi-Nippon Railroad's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nishi-Nippon Railroad's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 78.8 M |
Nishi-Nippon Railroad Technical Analysis
Nishi-Nippon Railroad's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nishi-Nippon Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nishi Nippon Railroad Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nishi-Nippon Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Nishi-Nippon Railroad Predictive Forecast Models
Nishi-Nippon Railroad's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nishi-Nippon Railroad's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nishi-Nippon Railroad's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Nishi Nippon Railroad
Checking the ongoing alerts about Nishi-Nippon Railroad for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nishi Nippon Railroad help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Nishi-Nippon Railroad generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Nishi-Nippon Railroad has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Nishi Nippon Railroad Co has accumulated 298.89 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 136.7, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Nishi Nippon Railroad has a current ratio of 0.79, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Nishi-Nippon Railroad until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Nishi-Nippon Railroad's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Nishi Nippon Railroad sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Nishi-Nippon to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Nishi-Nippon Railroad's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Other Information on Investing in Nishi-Nippon Stock
Nishi-Nippon Railroad financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nishi-Nippon Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nishi-Nippon with respect to the benefits of owning Nishi-Nippon Railroad security.