Namsys Inc Stock Chance of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 6.56

NMYSF Stock  USD 0.85  0.01  1.19%   
NamSys' future price is the expected price of NamSys instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of NamSys Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out NamSys Backtesting, NamSys Valuation, NamSys Correlation, NamSys Hype Analysis, NamSys Volatility, NamSys History as well as NamSys Performance.
  
Please specify NamSys' target price for which you would like NamSys odds to be computed.

NamSys Target Price Odds to finish over 6.56

The tendency of NamSys Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 6.56  or more in 90 days
 0.85 90 days 6.56 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NamSys to move over $ 6.56  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This NamSys Inc probability density function shows the probability of NamSys Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of NamSys Inc price to stay between its current price of $ 0.85  and $ 6.56  at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.31 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon NamSys Inc has a beta of -0.7. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding NamSys are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, NamSys Inc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally NamSys Inc has an alpha of 0.8244, implying that it can generate a 0.82 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   NamSys Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for NamSys

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NamSys Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NamSys' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.040.856.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.696.56
Details

NamSys Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NamSys is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NamSys' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NamSys Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NamSys within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.82
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.7
σ
Overall volatility
0.08
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

NamSys Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NamSys for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NamSys Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NamSys Inc is way too risky over 90 days horizon
NamSys Inc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
NamSys Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
NamSys Inc has accumulated about 5.26 M in cash with (1.61 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.19.
Roughly 41.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

NamSys Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NamSys Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential NamSys' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NamSys' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding27.3 M

NamSys Technical Analysis

NamSys' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NamSys Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NamSys Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing NamSys Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

NamSys Predictive Forecast Models

NamSys' time-series forecasting models is one of many NamSys' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NamSys' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about NamSys Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about NamSys for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NamSys Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NamSys Inc is way too risky over 90 days horizon
NamSys Inc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
NamSys Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
NamSys Inc has accumulated about 5.26 M in cash with (1.61 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.19.
Roughly 41.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in NamSys Pink Sheet

NamSys financial ratios help investors to determine whether NamSys Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in NamSys with respect to the benefits of owning NamSys security.