Natures Miracle Holding Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.66

NMHIDelisted Stock   0.49  0.08  14.04%   
Natures Miracle's future price is the expected price of Natures Miracle instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Natures Miracle Holding performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Natures Miracle Backtesting, Natures Miracle Valuation, Natures Miracle Correlation, Natures Miracle Hype Analysis, Natures Miracle Volatility, Natures Miracle History as well as Natures Miracle Performance.
  
Please specify Natures Miracle's target price for which you would like Natures Miracle odds to be computed.

Natures Miracle Target Price Odds to finish below 1.66

The tendency of Natures Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  1.66  after 90 days
 0.49 90 days 1.66 
about 16.86
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Natures Miracle to stay under  1.66  after 90 days from now is about 16.86 (This Natures Miracle Holding probability density function shows the probability of Natures Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Natures Miracle Holding price to stay between its current price of  0.49  and  1.66  at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.29 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Natures Miracle Holding has a beta of -1.03. This indicates Additionally Natures Miracle Holding has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Natures Miracle Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Natures Miracle

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Natures Miracle Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.3818.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.4718.85
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
-0.050.741.54
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Natures Miracle. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Natures Miracle's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Natures Miracle's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Natures Miracle Holding.

Natures Miracle Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Natures Miracle is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Natures Miracle's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Natures Miracle Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Natures Miracle within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-2.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.03
σ
Overall volatility
1.19
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Natures Miracle Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Natures Miracle for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Natures Miracle Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Natures Miracle generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Natures Miracle has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Natures Miracle has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Natures Miracle has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 8.93 M. Net Loss for the year was (7.34 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (581.87 K).
Natures Miracle generates negative cash flow from operations
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Natures Miracle Faces Delisting from Nasdaq Due to Non-Compliance with Minimum Shareholders Equity Rule

Natures Miracle Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Natures Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Natures Miracle's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Natures Miracle's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding22.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments221.8 K

Natures Miracle Technical Analysis

Natures Miracle's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Natures Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Natures Miracle Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing Natures Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Natures Miracle Predictive Forecast Models

Natures Miracle's time-series forecasting models is one of many Natures Miracle's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Natures Miracle's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Natures Miracle Holding

Checking the ongoing alerts about Natures Miracle for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Natures Miracle Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Natures Miracle generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Natures Miracle has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Natures Miracle has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Natures Miracle has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 8.93 M. Net Loss for the year was (7.34 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (581.87 K).
Natures Miracle generates negative cash flow from operations
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Natures Miracle Faces Delisting from Nasdaq Due to Non-Compliance with Minimum Shareholders Equity Rule
Check out Natures Miracle Backtesting, Natures Miracle Valuation, Natures Miracle Correlation, Natures Miracle Hype Analysis, Natures Miracle Volatility, Natures Miracle History as well as Natures Miracle Performance.
You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.

Other Consideration for investing in Natures Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Natures Miracle Holding check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Natures Miracle's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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