NMDC (India) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 264.92

NMDC Stock   213.15  0.97  0.45%   
NMDC's future price is the expected price of NMDC instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of NMDC Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out NMDC Backtesting, NMDC Valuation, NMDC Correlation, NMDC Hype Analysis, NMDC Volatility, NMDC History as well as NMDC Performance.
  
Please specify NMDC's target price for which you would like NMDC odds to be computed.

NMDC Target Price Odds to finish over 264.92

The tendency of NMDC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  264.92  or more in 90 days
 213.15 90 days 264.92 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NMDC to move over  264.92  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This NMDC Limited probability density function shows the probability of NMDC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of NMDC Limited price to stay between its current price of  213.15  and  264.92  at the end of the 90-day period is under 95 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon NMDC has a beta of 0.72. This indicates as returns on the market go up, NMDC average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding NMDC Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally NMDC Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   NMDC Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for NMDC

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NMDC Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
210.87213.10215.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
153.37155.60234.47
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
203.73205.97208.20
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
5.836.046.60
Details

NMDC Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NMDC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NMDC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NMDC Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NMDC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.72
σ
Overall volatility
8.95
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

NMDC Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NMDC for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NMDC Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 61.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: NMDC Share Price Jumps 2.6 Stock Looking Bullish on Technical Charts - TopNews India

NMDC Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NMDC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential NMDC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NMDC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.9 B
Cash And Short Term Investments122.8 B

NMDC Technical Analysis

NMDC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NMDC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NMDC Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing NMDC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

NMDC Predictive Forecast Models

NMDC's time-series forecasting models is one of many NMDC's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NMDC's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about NMDC Limited

Checking the ongoing alerts about NMDC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NMDC Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 61.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: NMDC Share Price Jumps 2.6 Stock Looking Bullish on Technical Charts - TopNews India

Additional Tools for NMDC Stock Analysis

When running NMDC's price analysis, check to measure NMDC's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NMDC is operating at the current time. Most of NMDC's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NMDC's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NMDC's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NMDC to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.