Navios Maritime Holdings Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.67
| NMDelisted Stock | USD 1.74 0.03 1.75% |
Navios |
Navios Maritime Target Price Odds to finish over 1.67
The tendency of Navios Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 1.67 in 90 days |
| 1.74 | 90 days | 1.67 | about 76.96 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Navios Maritime to stay above $ 1.67 in 90 days from now is about 76.96 (This Navios Maritime Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Navios Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Navios Maritime Holdings price to stay between $ 1.67 and its current price of $1.74 at the end of the 90-day period is about 26.96 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.13 . This indicates Navios Maritime Holdings market returns are highly reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Navios Maritime is expected to follow. Additionally Navios Maritime Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Navios Maritime Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Navios Maritime
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Navios Maritime Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Navios Maritime Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Navios Maritime is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Navios Maritime's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Navios Maritime Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Navios Maritime within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.22 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.09 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Navios Maritime Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Navios Maritime for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Navios Maritime Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Navios Maritime is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Navios Maritime may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Navios Maritime has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Navios Maritime Holdings reports 696.54 M of total liabilities. Navios Maritime Holdings has a current ratio of 0.41, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Navios to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| About 24.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Diana Shipping Inc. Reports Financial Results for the Third Quarter and Nine Months Ended ... |
Navios Maritime Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Navios Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Navios Maritime's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Navios Maritime's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 22.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 78.5 M |
Navios Maritime Technical Analysis
Navios Maritime's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Navios Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Navios Maritime Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Navios Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Navios Maritime Predictive Forecast Models
Navios Maritime's time-series forecasting models is one of many Navios Maritime's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Navios Maritime's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Navios Maritime Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Navios Maritime for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Navios Maritime Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Navios Maritime is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Navios Maritime may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Navios Maritime has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Navios Maritime Holdings reports 696.54 M of total liabilities. Navios Maritime Holdings has a current ratio of 0.41, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Navios to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| About 24.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Diana Shipping Inc. Reports Financial Results for the Third Quarter and Nine Months Ended ... |
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population. You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
Other Consideration for investing in Navios Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Navios Maritime Holdings check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Navios Maritime's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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