Nilsson Special (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.89

NILS Stock  SEK 3.00  0.04  1.35%   
Nilsson Special's future price is the expected price of Nilsson Special instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Nilsson Special Vehicles performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Nilsson Special Backtesting, Nilsson Special Valuation, Nilsson Special Correlation, Nilsson Special Hype Analysis, Nilsson Special Volatility, Nilsson Special History as well as Nilsson Special Performance.
  
Please specify Nilsson Special's target price for which you would like Nilsson Special odds to be computed.

Nilsson Special Target Price Odds to finish over 2.89

The tendency of Nilsson Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above kr 2.89  in 90 days
 3.00 90 days 2.89 
over 95.92
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nilsson Special to stay above kr 2.89  in 90 days from now is over 95.92 (This Nilsson Special Vehicles probability density function shows the probability of Nilsson Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nilsson Special Vehicles price to stay between kr 2.89  and its current price of kr3.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.96 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Nilsson Special has a beta of 0.22. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Nilsson Special average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Nilsson Special Vehicles will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Nilsson Special Vehicles has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Nilsson Special Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Nilsson Special

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nilsson Special Vehicles. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.153.008.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.142.838.59
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.063.208.97
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.513.254.00
Details

Nilsson Special Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nilsson Special is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nilsson Special's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nilsson Special Vehicles, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nilsson Special within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.53
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.22
σ
Overall volatility
0.58
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Nilsson Special Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nilsson Special for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nilsson Special Vehicles can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nilsson Special generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Nilsson Special has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Nilsson Special has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 185.67 M. Net Loss for the year was (10.25 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 46.65 M.
Nilsson Special Vehicles has accumulated about 1.66 M in cash with (4.72 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.35.
Roughly 73.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Nilsson Special Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nilsson Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nilsson Special's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nilsson Special's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding107.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments667 K

Nilsson Special Technical Analysis

Nilsson Special's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nilsson Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nilsson Special Vehicles. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nilsson Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Nilsson Special Predictive Forecast Models

Nilsson Special's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nilsson Special's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nilsson Special's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Nilsson Special Vehicles

Checking the ongoing alerts about Nilsson Special for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nilsson Special Vehicles help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nilsson Special generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Nilsson Special has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Nilsson Special has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 185.67 M. Net Loss for the year was (10.25 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 46.65 M.
Nilsson Special Vehicles has accumulated about 1.66 M in cash with (4.72 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.35.
Roughly 73.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for Nilsson Stock Analysis

When running Nilsson Special's price analysis, check to measure Nilsson Special's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nilsson Special is operating at the current time. Most of Nilsson Special's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nilsson Special's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nilsson Special's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nilsson Special to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.