Nickel Asia (Philippines) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.12

NIKL Stock   3.12  0.12  4.00%   
Nickel Asia's future price is the expected price of Nickel Asia instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Nickel Asia Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Nickel Asia Backtesting, Nickel Asia Valuation, Nickel Asia Correlation, Nickel Asia Hype Analysis, Nickel Asia Volatility, Nickel Asia History as well as Nickel Asia Performance.
  
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Nickel Asia Target Price Odds to finish below 3.12

The tendency of Nickel Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 3.12 90 days 3.12 
about 16.62
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nickel Asia to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 16.62 (This Nickel Asia Corp probability density function shows the probability of Nickel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Nickel Asia Corp has a beta of -0.29. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Nickel Asia are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Nickel Asia Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Nickel Asia Corp has an alpha of 0.0138, implying that it can generate a 0.0138 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Nickel Asia Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Nickel Asia

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nickel Asia Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.763.125.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.432.795.15
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.833.185.54
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.893.153.42
Details

Nickel Asia Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nickel Asia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nickel Asia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nickel Asia Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nickel Asia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.29
σ
Overall volatility
0.29
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Nickel Asia Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nickel Asia for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nickel Asia Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nickel Asia Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Nickel Asia Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nickel Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nickel Asia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nickel Asia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding13.6 B
Dividends Paid7.9 B
Cash And Short Term Investments19.4 B

Nickel Asia Technical Analysis

Nickel Asia's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nickel Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nickel Asia Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nickel Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Nickel Asia Predictive Forecast Models

Nickel Asia's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nickel Asia's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nickel Asia's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Nickel Asia Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Nickel Asia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nickel Asia Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nickel Asia Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Additional Tools for Nickel Stock Analysis

When running Nickel Asia's price analysis, check to measure Nickel Asia's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nickel Asia is operating at the current time. Most of Nickel Asia's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nickel Asia's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nickel Asia's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nickel Asia to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.