NIIT (India) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 183.69
| NIITLTD Stock | 216.33 0.53 0.25% |
NIIT |
NIIT Target Price Odds to finish over 183.69
The tendency of NIIT Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 183.69 in 90 days |
| 216.33 | 90 days | 183.69 | about 46.94 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NIIT to stay above 183.69 in 90 days from now is about 46.94 (This NIIT Limited probability density function shows the probability of NIIT Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of NIIT Limited price to stay between 183.69 and its current price of 216.33 at the end of the 90-day period is about 41.63 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.73 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, NIIT will likely underperform. Additionally NIIT Limited has an alpha of 9.0E-4, implying that it can generate a 8.99E-4 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). NIIT Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for NIIT
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NIIT Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.NIIT Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NIIT is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NIIT's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NIIT Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NIIT within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.0009 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.73 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 21.21 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
NIIT Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NIIT for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NIIT Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| NIIT Limited had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 48.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
NIIT Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NIIT Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential NIIT's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NIIT's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 136.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.2 B |
NIIT Technical Analysis
NIIT's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NIIT Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NIIT Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing NIIT Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
NIIT Predictive Forecast Models
NIIT's time-series forecasting models is one of many NIIT's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NIIT's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about NIIT Limited
Checking the ongoing alerts about NIIT for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NIIT Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| NIIT Limited had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 48.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in NIIT Stock
NIIT financial ratios help investors to determine whether NIIT Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in NIIT with respect to the benefits of owning NIIT security.