Northeast Indiana Bancorp Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 43.50
| NIDBDelisted Stock | USD 21.81 0.00 0.00% |
Northeast |
Northeast Indiana Target Price Odds to finish below 43.50
The tendency of Northeast OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 43.50 after 90 days |
| 21.81 | 90 days | 43.50 | roughly 96.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Northeast Indiana to stay under $ 43.50 after 90 days from now is roughly 96.0 (This Northeast Indiana Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of Northeast OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Northeast Indiana Bancorp price to stay between its current price of $ 21.81 and $ 43.50 at the end of the 90-day period is about 65.85 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the otc stock has the beta coefficient of 6.2 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Northeast Indiana will likely underperform. In addition to that Northeast Indiana Bancorp has an alpha of 6.3409, implying that it can generate a 6.34 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Northeast Indiana Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Northeast Indiana
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Northeast Indiana Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Northeast Indiana's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Northeast Indiana Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Northeast Indiana is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Northeast Indiana's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Northeast Indiana Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Northeast Indiana within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 6.34 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 6.20 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 9.48 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.17 |
Northeast Indiana Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Northeast Indiana for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Northeast Indiana Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Northeast Indiana is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Northeast Indiana has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years |
Northeast Indiana Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Northeast OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Northeast Indiana's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Northeast Indiana's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.2 M |
Northeast Indiana Technical Analysis
Northeast Indiana's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Northeast OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Northeast Indiana Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Northeast OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Northeast Indiana Predictive Forecast Models
Northeast Indiana's time-series forecasting models is one of many Northeast Indiana's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Northeast Indiana's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Northeast Indiana Bancorp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Northeast Indiana for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Northeast Indiana Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Northeast Indiana is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Northeast Indiana has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years |
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any otc stock could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment. Note that the Northeast Indiana Bancorp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Northeast Indiana's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
Other Consideration for investing in Northeast OTC Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Northeast Indiana Bancorp check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Northeast Indiana's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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