National Healthcare Properties, Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 12.60
| NHPBP Stock | 13.75 0.21 1.50% |
National |
National Healthcare Target Price Odds to finish below 12.60
The tendency of National Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 12.60 or more in 90 days |
| 13.75 | 90 days | 12.60 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of National Healthcare to drop to 12.60 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This National Healthcare Properties, probability density function shows the probability of National Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of National Healthcare price to stay between 12.60 and its current price of 13.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 28.1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon National Healthcare has a beta of 0.43. This indicates as returns on the market go up, National Healthcare average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding National Healthcare Properties, will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally National Healthcare Properties, has an alpha of 0.0265, implying that it can generate a 0.0265 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). National Healthcare Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for National Healthcare
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as National Healthcare. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.National Healthcare Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. National Healthcare is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the National Healthcare's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold National Healthcare Properties,, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of National Healthcare within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.43 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.38 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
National Healthcare Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of National Healthcare for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for National Healthcare can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| National Healthcare generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| National Healthcare has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| National Healthcare Properties, was previously known as Healthcare Trust Preferred and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol HTIBP. | |
| The company reported the revenue of 353.79 M. Net Loss for the year was (189.7 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (1.94 M). | |
| National Healthcare generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| National Healthcare has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| On 15th of January 2025 National Healthcare paid 0.445 per share dividend to its current shareholders |
National Healthcare Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of National Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential National Healthcare's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. National Healthcare's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 28.3 M |
National Healthcare Technical Analysis
National Healthcare's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. National Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of National Healthcare Properties,. In general, you should focus on analyzing National Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
National Healthcare Predictive Forecast Models
National Healthcare's time-series forecasting models is one of many National Healthcare's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary National Healthcare's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about National Healthcare
Checking the ongoing alerts about National Healthcare for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for National Healthcare help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| National Healthcare generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| National Healthcare has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| National Healthcare Properties, was previously known as Healthcare Trust Preferred and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol HTIBP. | |
| The company reported the revenue of 353.79 M. Net Loss for the year was (189.7 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (1.94 M). | |
| National Healthcare generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| National Healthcare has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| On 15th of January 2025 National Healthcare paid 0.445 per share dividend to its current shareholders |
Additional Tools for National Stock Analysis
When running National Healthcare's price analysis, check to measure National Healthcare's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy National Healthcare is operating at the current time. Most of National Healthcare's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of National Healthcare's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move National Healthcare's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of National Healthcare to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.