Naver Corp Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 115.00
| NHNCF Stock | USD 115.00 0.78 0.68% |
NAVER |
NAVER Corp Target Price Odds to finish below 115.00
The tendency of NAVER Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 115.00 | 90 days | 115.00 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NAVER Corp to move below current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This NAVER Corp probability density function shows the probability of NAVER Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon NAVER Corp has a beta of -0.0083. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding NAVER Corp are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, NAVER Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally NAVER Corp has an alpha of 0.0, implying that it can generate a 2.3E-5 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). NAVER Corp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for NAVER Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NAVER Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NAVER Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
NAVER Corp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NAVER Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NAVER Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NAVER Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NAVER Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.000023 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.0083 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.13 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.28 |
NAVER Corp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NAVER Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential NAVER Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NAVER Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 149.3 M |
NAVER Corp Technical Analysis
NAVER Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NAVER Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NAVER Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing NAVER Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
NAVER Corp Predictive Forecast Models
NAVER Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many NAVER Corp's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NAVER Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards NAVER Corp in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, NAVER Corp's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from NAVER Corp options trading.
Other Information on Investing in NAVER Pink Sheet
NAVER Corp financial ratios help investors to determine whether NAVER Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in NAVER with respect to the benefits of owning NAVER Corp security.