NFC Indonesia (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1150.0
| NFCX Stock | 1,180 15.00 1.29% |
NFC |
NFC Indonesia Target Price Odds to finish below 1150.0
The tendency of NFC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 1,150 or more in 90 days |
| 1,180 | 90 days | 1,150 | about 23.33 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NFC Indonesia to drop to 1,150 or more in 90 days from now is about 23.33 (This NFC Indonesia PT probability density function shows the probability of NFC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of NFC Indonesia PT price to stay between 1,150 and its current price of 1180.0 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.3 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon NFC Indonesia PT has a beta of -0.72. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding NFC Indonesia are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, NFC Indonesia PT is likely to outperform the market. Additionally NFC Indonesia PT has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. NFC Indonesia Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for NFC Indonesia
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NFC Indonesia PT. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.NFC Indonesia Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NFC Indonesia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NFC Indonesia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NFC Indonesia PT, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NFC Indonesia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.46 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.72 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 223.91 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
NFC Indonesia Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NFC Indonesia for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NFC Indonesia PT can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| NFC Indonesia PT generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| NFC Indonesia PT has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 65.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
NFC Indonesia Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NFC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential NFC Indonesia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NFC Indonesia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 662.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 859.6 B |
NFC Indonesia Technical Analysis
NFC Indonesia's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NFC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NFC Indonesia PT. In general, you should focus on analyzing NFC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
NFC Indonesia Predictive Forecast Models
NFC Indonesia's time-series forecasting models is one of many NFC Indonesia's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NFC Indonesia's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about NFC Indonesia PT
Checking the ongoing alerts about NFC Indonesia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NFC Indonesia PT help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| NFC Indonesia PT generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| NFC Indonesia PT has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 65.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in NFC Stock
NFC Indonesia financial ratios help investors to determine whether NFC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in NFC with respect to the benefits of owning NFC Indonesia security.