NewWave Silver (South Africa) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 560.93

NEWSLV Etf   537.00  4.00  0.75%   
NewWave Silver's future price is the expected price of NewWave Silver instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of NewWave Silver Exchange performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out NewWave Silver Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, NewWave Silver Correlation, NewWave Silver Hype Analysis, NewWave Silver Volatility, NewWave Silver History as well as NewWave Silver Performance.
  
Please specify NewWave Silver's target price for which you would like NewWave Silver odds to be computed.

NewWave Silver Target Price Odds to finish below 560.93

The tendency of NewWave Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  560.93  after 90 days
 537.00 90 days 560.93 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NewWave Silver to stay under  560.93  after 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This NewWave Silver Exchange probability density function shows the probability of NewWave Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of NewWave Silver Exchange price to stay between its current price of  537.00  and  560.93  at the end of the 90-day period is about 37.4 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon NewWave Silver Exchange has a beta of -0.15. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding NewWave Silver are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, NewWave Silver Exchange is likely to outperform the market. Additionally NewWave Silver Exchange has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   NewWave Silver Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for NewWave Silver

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NewWave Silver Exchange. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
531.59533.00534.41
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
490.84492.25586.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
524.02525.43526.84
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
526.70539.57552.44
Details

NewWave Silver Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NewWave Silver is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NewWave Silver's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NewWave Silver Exchange, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NewWave Silver within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.15
σ
Overall volatility
13.13
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

NewWave Silver Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NewWave Silver for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NewWave Silver Exchange can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NewWave Silver generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

NewWave Silver Technical Analysis

NewWave Silver's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NewWave Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NewWave Silver Exchange. In general, you should focus on analyzing NewWave Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

NewWave Silver Predictive Forecast Models

NewWave Silver's time-series forecasting models is one of many NewWave Silver's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NewWave Silver's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about NewWave Silver Exchange

Checking the ongoing alerts about NewWave Silver for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NewWave Silver Exchange help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NewWave Silver generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in NewWave Etf

NewWave Silver financial ratios help investors to determine whether NewWave Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in NewWave with respect to the benefits of owning NewWave Silver security.