Network18 Media (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 79.2
| NETWORK18 | 78.84 0.36 0.45% |
Network18 |
Network18 Media Target Price Odds to finish below 79.2
The tendency of Network18 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 79.20 after 90 days |
| 78.84 | 90 days | 79.20 | about 19.62 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Network18 Media to stay under 79.20 after 90 days from now is about 19.62 (This Network18 Media Investments probability density function shows the probability of Network18 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Network18 Media Inve price to stay between its current price of 78.84 and 79.20 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.69 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Network18 Media Investments has a beta of -0.2. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Network18 Media are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Network18 Media Investments is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Network18 Media Investments has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Network18 Media Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Network18 Media
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Network18 Media Inve. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Network18 Media Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Network18 Media is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Network18 Media's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Network18 Media Investments, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Network18 Media within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.26 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.76 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Network18 Media Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Network18 Media for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Network18 Media Inve can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Network18 Media Inve generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Network18 Media Inve has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the revenue of 92.97 B. Net Loss for the year was (2.54 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 17.93 B. | |
| Network18 Media Investments has accumulated about 2.28 B in cash with (64.65 B) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 57.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Gainers Losers Stocks that moved the most on November 22 - Moneycontrol |
Network18 Media Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Network18 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Network18 Media's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Network18 Media's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 80.6 B |
Network18 Media Technical Analysis
Network18 Media's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Network18 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Network18 Media Investments. In general, you should focus on analyzing Network18 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Network18 Media Predictive Forecast Models
Network18 Media's time-series forecasting models is one of many Network18 Media's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Network18 Media's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Network18 Media Inve
Checking the ongoing alerts about Network18 Media for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Network18 Media Inve help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Network18 Media Inve generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Network18 Media Inve has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the revenue of 92.97 B. Net Loss for the year was (2.54 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 17.93 B. | |
| Network18 Media Investments has accumulated about 2.28 B in cash with (64.65 B) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 57.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Gainers Losers Stocks that moved the most on November 22 - Moneycontrol |
Other Information on Investing in Network18 Stock
Network18 Media financial ratios help investors to determine whether Network18 Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Network18 with respect to the benefits of owning Network18 Media security.