Netcapital Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.0078
| NCPLW Stock | USD 0.03 0 4.23% |
Netcapital |
Netcapital Target Price Odds to finish over 0.0078
The tendency of Netcapital Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 0.01 in 90 days |
| 0.03 | 90 days | 0.01 | about 78.73 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Netcapital to stay above $ 0.01 in 90 days from now is about 78.73 (This Netcapital probability density function shows the probability of Netcapital Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Netcapital price to stay between $ 0.01 and its current price of $0.0271 at the end of the 90-day period is about 77.93 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.46 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Netcapital will likely underperform. In addition to that Netcapital has an alpha of 5.6628, implying that it can generate a 5.66 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Netcapital Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Netcapital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Netcapital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Netcapital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Netcapital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Netcapital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Netcapital, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Netcapital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 5.66 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.46 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.17 |
Netcapital Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Netcapital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Netcapital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Netcapital is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Netcapital has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Netcapital appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Netcapital has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Netcapital has accumulated 2.42 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.14, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Netcapital has a current ratio of 0.77, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Note, when we think about Netcapital's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 4.95 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.99 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Netcapital has accumulated about 477.13 K in cash with (4.88 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.17, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Netcapital has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Netcapital Secures FINRA Broker-Dealer License, Expands Capital Raising Capabilities NCPL Stock News - StockTitan |
Netcapital Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Netcapital Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Netcapital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Netcapital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 12.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 863.2 K |
Netcapital Technical Analysis
Netcapital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Netcapital Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Netcapital. In general, you should focus on analyzing Netcapital Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Netcapital Predictive Forecast Models
Netcapital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Netcapital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Netcapital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Netcapital
Checking the ongoing alerts about Netcapital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Netcapital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Netcapital is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Netcapital has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Netcapital appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Netcapital has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Netcapital has accumulated 2.42 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.14, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Netcapital has a current ratio of 0.77, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Note, when we think about Netcapital's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 4.95 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.99 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Netcapital has accumulated about 477.13 K in cash with (4.88 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.17, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Netcapital has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Netcapital Secures FINRA Broker-Dealer License, Expands Capital Raising Capabilities NCPL Stock News - StockTitan |
Additional Tools for Netcapital Stock Analysis
When running Netcapital's price analysis, check to measure Netcapital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Netcapital is operating at the current time. Most of Netcapital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Netcapital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Netcapital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Netcapital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.