Naspers Limited Stock Odds of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 227.5

NAPRF Stock  USD 241.20  14.82  6.55%   
Naspers' future price is the expected price of Naspers instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Naspers Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Naspers Backtesting, Naspers Valuation, Naspers Correlation, Naspers Hype Analysis, Naspers Volatility, Naspers History as well as Naspers Performance.
  
Please specify Naspers' target price for which you would like Naspers odds to be computed.

Naspers Target Price Odds to finish below 227.5

The tendency of Naspers Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 227.50  or more in 90 days
 241.20 90 days 227.50 
about 50.8
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Naspers to drop to $ 227.50  or more in 90 days from now is about 50.8 (This Naspers Limited probability density function shows the probability of Naspers Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Naspers Limited price to stay between $ 227.50  and its current price of $241.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 28.48 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Naspers Limited has a beta of -1.35. This indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Naspers Limited are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Naspers is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Naspers Limited has an alpha of 0.4933, implying that it can generate a 0.49 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Naspers Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Naspers

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Naspers Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
238.46241.20243.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
186.29189.03265.32
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
234.15236.89239.63
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
218.79229.72240.65
Details

Naspers Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Naspers is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Naspers' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Naspers Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Naspers within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.49
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.35
σ
Overall volatility
17.17
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Naspers Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Naspers for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Naspers Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Naspers Limited has accumulated about 13.65 B in cash with (702 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 63.66.

Naspers Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Naspers Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Naspers' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Naspers' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding214.6 M

Naspers Technical Analysis

Naspers' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Naspers Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Naspers Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Naspers Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Naspers Predictive Forecast Models

Naspers' time-series forecasting models is one of many Naspers' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Naspers' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Naspers Limited

Checking the ongoing alerts about Naspers for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Naspers Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Naspers Limited has accumulated about 13.65 B in cash with (702 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 63.66.

Other Information on Investing in Naspers Pink Sheet

Naspers financial ratios help investors to determine whether Naspers Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Naspers with respect to the benefits of owning Naspers security.