Duckhorn Portfolio Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.07
| NAPA Stock | USD 11.11 0.02 0.18% |
Duckhorn |
Duckhorn Portfolio Target Price Odds to finish below 11.07
The tendency of Duckhorn Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 11.07 or more in 90 days |
| 11.11 | 90 days | 11.07 | about 68.89 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Duckhorn Portfolio to drop to $ 11.07 or more in 90 days from now is about 68.89 (This Duckhorn Portfolio probability density function shows the probability of Duckhorn Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Duckhorn Portfolio price to stay between $ 11.07 and its current price of $11.11 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Duckhorn Portfolio has a beta of -2.37. This indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Duckhorn Portfolio are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Duckhorn Portfolio is expected to outperform its benchmark. Moreover Duckhorn Portfolio has an alpha of 1.4845, implying that it can generate a 1.48 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Duckhorn Portfolio Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Duckhorn Portfolio
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Duckhorn Portfolio. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Duckhorn Portfolio Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Duckhorn Portfolio is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Duckhorn Portfolio's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Duckhorn Portfolio, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Duckhorn Portfolio within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.48 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -2.37 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
Duckhorn Portfolio Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Duckhorn Portfolio for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Duckhorn Portfolio can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Duckhorn Portfolio is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Duckhorn Portfolio appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Duckhorn Portfolio has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: The Duckhorn Portfolio, Inc. Receives Average Rating of Hold from Analysts |
Duckhorn Portfolio Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Duckhorn Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Duckhorn Portfolio's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Duckhorn Portfolio's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 123.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 10.9 M |
Duckhorn Portfolio Technical Analysis
Duckhorn Portfolio's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Duckhorn Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Duckhorn Portfolio. In general, you should focus on analyzing Duckhorn Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Duckhorn Portfolio Predictive Forecast Models
Duckhorn Portfolio's time-series forecasting models is one of many Duckhorn Portfolio's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Duckhorn Portfolio's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Duckhorn Portfolio
Checking the ongoing alerts about Duckhorn Portfolio for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Duckhorn Portfolio help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Duckhorn Portfolio is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Duckhorn Portfolio appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Duckhorn Portfolio has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: The Duckhorn Portfolio, Inc. Receives Average Rating of Hold from Analysts |
Check out Duckhorn Portfolio Backtesting, Duckhorn Portfolio Valuation, Duckhorn Portfolio Correlation, Duckhorn Portfolio Hype Analysis, Duckhorn Portfolio Volatility, Duckhorn Portfolio History as well as Duckhorn Portfolio Performance. For information on how to trade Duckhorn Stock refer to our How to Trade Duckhorn Stock guide.You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.
Is Distillers & Vintners space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Duckhorn Portfolio. If investors know Duckhorn will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Duckhorn Portfolio listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.52) | Earnings Share 0.4 | Revenue Per Share 3.285 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.073 | Return On Assets 0.0396 |
The market value of Duckhorn Portfolio is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Duckhorn that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Duckhorn Portfolio's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Duckhorn Portfolio's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Duckhorn Portfolio's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Duckhorn Portfolio's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Duckhorn Portfolio's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Duckhorn Portfolio is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Duckhorn Portfolio's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.