Nanobiotix (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.47

NANO Stock  EUR 3.22  0.07  2.13%   
Nanobiotix's future price is the expected price of Nanobiotix instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Nanobiotix SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Nanobiotix Backtesting, Nanobiotix Valuation, Nanobiotix Correlation, Nanobiotix Hype Analysis, Nanobiotix Volatility, Nanobiotix History as well as Nanobiotix Performance.
For information on how to trade Nanobiotix Stock refer to our How to Trade Nanobiotix Stock guide.
  
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Nanobiotix Target Price Odds to finish below 4.47

The tendency of Nanobiotix Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under € 4.47  after 90 days
 3.22 90 days 4.47 
about 80.55
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nanobiotix to stay under € 4.47  after 90 days from now is about 80.55 (This Nanobiotix SA probability density function shows the probability of Nanobiotix Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nanobiotix SA price to stay between its current price of € 3.22  and € 4.47  at the end of the 90-day period is about 70.14 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Nanobiotix has a beta of 0.0854. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Nanobiotix average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Nanobiotix SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Nanobiotix SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Nanobiotix Price Density   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.151.92.262.62.933.243.63.934.274.584.91Current PriceTargetNanobiotix Mean 0.10.20.30.40.50.6
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Nanobiotix

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nanobiotix SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.193.226.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.152.976.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.593.616.64
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.623.424.22
Details

Nanobiotix Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nanobiotix is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nanobiotix's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nanobiotix SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nanobiotix within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.43
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.09
σ
Overall volatility
0.59
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

Nanobiotix Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nanobiotix for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nanobiotix SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nanobiotix SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Nanobiotix SA has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Nanobiotix SA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company reported the revenue of 10 K. Net Loss for the year was (47 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.65 M.
Nanobiotix SA has accumulated about 36.2 M in cash with (29.87 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.85.

Nanobiotix Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nanobiotix Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nanobiotix's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nanobiotix's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding107.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments83.9 M

Nanobiotix Technical Analysis

Nanobiotix's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nanobiotix Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nanobiotix SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nanobiotix Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Nanobiotix Predictive Forecast Models

Nanobiotix's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nanobiotix's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nanobiotix's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Nanobiotix SA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Nanobiotix for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nanobiotix SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nanobiotix SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Nanobiotix SA has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Nanobiotix SA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company reported the revenue of 10 K. Net Loss for the year was (47 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.65 M.
Nanobiotix SA has accumulated about 36.2 M in cash with (29.87 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.85.

Other Information on Investing in Nanobiotix Stock

Nanobiotix financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nanobiotix Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nanobiotix with respect to the benefits of owning Nanobiotix security.