BANDAI NAMCO (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 18.92
| N9B Stock | EUR 22.96 0.61 2.73% |
BANDAI |
BANDAI NAMCO Target Price Odds to finish below 18.92
The tendency of BANDAI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 18.92 or more in 90 days |
| 22.96 | 90 days | 18.92 | about 44.85 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BANDAI NAMCO to drop to € 18.92 or more in 90 days from now is about 44.85 (This BANDAI NAMCO Holdings probability density function shows the probability of BANDAI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BANDAI NAMCO Holdings price to stay between € 18.92 and its current price of €22.96 at the end of the 90-day period is about 44.6 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon BANDAI NAMCO has a beta of 0.98. This indicates BANDAI NAMCO Holdings market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, BANDAI NAMCO is expected to follow. Moreover BANDAI NAMCO Holdings has an alpha of 1.8491, implying that it can generate a 1.85 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). BANDAI NAMCO Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for BANDAI NAMCO
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BANDAI NAMCO Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BANDAI NAMCO Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BANDAI NAMCO is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BANDAI NAMCO's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BANDAI NAMCO Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BANDAI NAMCO within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.85 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.98 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.92 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
BANDAI NAMCO Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BANDAI NAMCO for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BANDAI NAMCO Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| BANDAI NAMCO is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| BANDAI NAMCO appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 15.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
BANDAI NAMCO Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BANDAI Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BANDAI NAMCO's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BANDAI NAMCO's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 220 M |
BANDAI NAMCO Technical Analysis
BANDAI NAMCO's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BANDAI Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BANDAI NAMCO Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing BANDAI Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
BANDAI NAMCO Predictive Forecast Models
BANDAI NAMCO's time-series forecasting models is one of many BANDAI NAMCO's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BANDAI NAMCO's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about BANDAI NAMCO Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about BANDAI NAMCO for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BANDAI NAMCO Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| BANDAI NAMCO is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| BANDAI NAMCO appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 15.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in BANDAI Stock
BANDAI NAMCO financial ratios help investors to determine whether BANDAI Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BANDAI with respect to the benefits of owning BANDAI NAMCO security.