Mayora Indah (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2699.6
| MYOR Stock | IDR 2,730 10.00 0.37% |
Mayora |
Mayora Indah Target Price Odds to finish over 2699.6
The tendency of Mayora Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 2,700 in 90 days |
| 2,730 | 90 days | 2,700 | about 49.39 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mayora Indah to stay above 2,700 in 90 days from now is about 49.39 (This Mayora Indah Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Mayora Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mayora Indah Tbk price to stay between 2,700 and its current price of 2730.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.64 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Mayora Indah has a beta of 0.74. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Mayora Indah average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Mayora Indah Tbk will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Mayora Indah Tbk has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Mayora Indah Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Mayora Indah
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mayora Indah Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Mayora Indah Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mayora Indah is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mayora Indah's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mayora Indah Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mayora Indah within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.74 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 102.41 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Mayora Indah Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mayora Indah for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mayora Indah Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Mayora Indah Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 84.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Mayora Indah Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mayora Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mayora Indah's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mayora Indah's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 22.4 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3 T |
Mayora Indah Technical Analysis
Mayora Indah's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mayora Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mayora Indah Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mayora Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Mayora Indah Predictive Forecast Models
Mayora Indah's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mayora Indah's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mayora Indah's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Mayora Indah Tbk
Checking the ongoing alerts about Mayora Indah for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mayora Indah Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Mayora Indah Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 84.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Mayora Stock
Mayora Indah financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mayora Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mayora with respect to the benefits of owning Mayora Indah security.