Great West Short Duration Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 10.82
| MXSDX Fund | USD 10.73 0.01 0.09% |
Great |
Great West Target Price Odds to finish over 10.82
The tendency of Great Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 10.82 or more in 90 days |
| 10.73 | 90 days | 10.82 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Great West to move over $ 10.82 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Great West Short Duration probability density function shows the probability of Great Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Great West Short price to stay between its current price of $ 10.73 and $ 10.82 at the end of the 90-day period is about 34.4 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Great West Short Duration has a beta of -0.0118. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Great West are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Great West Short Duration is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Great West Short Duration has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Great West Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Great West
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Great West Short. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Great West's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Great West Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Great West is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Great West's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Great West Short Duration, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Great West within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0088 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -1.14 |
Great West Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Great West for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Great West Short can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Great West Short generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund maintains about 95.58% of its assets in bonds |
Great West Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Great Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Great West's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Great West's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Great West Technical Analysis
Great West's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Great Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Great West Short Duration. In general, you should focus on analyzing Great Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Great West Predictive Forecast Models
Great West's time-series forecasting models is one of many Great West's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Great West's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Great West Short
Checking the ongoing alerts about Great West for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Great West Short help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Great West Short generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund maintains about 95.58% of its assets in bonds |
Other Information on Investing in Great Mutual Fund
Great West financial ratios help investors to determine whether Great Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Great with respect to the benefits of owning Great West security.
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