Praxis Value Index Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 19.9

MVIAX Fund  USD 19.74  0.05  0.25%   
Praxis Value's future price is the expected price of Praxis Value instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Praxis Value Index performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Praxis Value Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Praxis Value Correlation, Praxis Value Hype Analysis, Praxis Value Volatility, Praxis Value History as well as Praxis Value Performance.
  
Please specify Praxis Value's target price for which you would like Praxis Value odds to be computed.

Praxis Value Target Price Odds to finish below 19.9

The tendency of Praxis Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 19.90  after 90 days
 19.74 90 days 19.90 
about 70.12
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Praxis Value to stay under $ 19.90  after 90 days from now is about 70.12 (This Praxis Value Index probability density function shows the probability of Praxis Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Praxis Value Index price to stay between its current price of $ 19.74  and $ 19.90  at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.22 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Praxis Value has a beta of 0.0902. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Praxis Value average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Praxis Value Index will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Praxis Value Index has an alpha of 0.0404, implying that it can generate a 0.0404 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Praxis Value Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Praxis Value

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Praxis Value Index. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.2519.8420.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.2619.8520.44
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.8219.4120.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.7520.1620.58
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Praxis Value. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Praxis Value's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Praxis Value's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Praxis Value Index.

Praxis Value Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Praxis Value is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Praxis Value's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Praxis Value Index, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Praxis Value within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.09
σ
Overall volatility
0.35
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Praxis Value Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Praxis Value for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Praxis Value Index can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 98.26% of its assets in stocks

Praxis Value Technical Analysis

Praxis Value's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Praxis Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Praxis Value Index. In general, you should focus on analyzing Praxis Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Praxis Value Predictive Forecast Models

Praxis Value's time-series forecasting models is one of many Praxis Value's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Praxis Value's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Praxis Value Index

Checking the ongoing alerts about Praxis Value for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Praxis Value Index help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 98.26% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Praxis Mutual Fund

Praxis Value financial ratios help investors to determine whether Praxis Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Praxis with respect to the benefits of owning Praxis Value security.
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