Blackrock Muni Intermediate Fund Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 11.04

MUI Fund  USD 12.75  0.01  0.08%   
Blackrock Muni's future price is the expected price of Blackrock Muni instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Blackrock Muni Intermediate performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Blackrock Muni Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Blackrock Muni Correlation, Blackrock Muni Hype Analysis, Blackrock Muni Volatility, Blackrock Muni History as well as Blackrock Muni Performance.
  
Please specify Blackrock Muni's target price for which you would like Blackrock Muni odds to be computed.

Blackrock Muni Target Price Odds to finish below 11.04

The tendency of Blackrock Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 11.04  or more in 90 days
 12.75 90 days 11.04 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Blackrock Muni to drop to $ 11.04  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Blackrock Muni Intermediate probability density function shows the probability of Blackrock Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Blackrock Muni Inter price to stay between $ 11.04  and its current price of $12.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Blackrock Muni Intermediate has a beta of -0.0018. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Blackrock Muni are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Blackrock Muni Intermediate is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Blackrock Muni Intermediate has an alpha of 0.0411, implying that it can generate a 0.0411 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Blackrock Muni Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Blackrock Muni

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Blackrock Muni Inter. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Blackrock Muni's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.2212.7513.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.0212.5513.08
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.2212.7513.29
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.7212.7412.76
Details

Blackrock Muni Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Blackrock Muni is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Blackrock Muni's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Blackrock Muni Intermediate, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Blackrock Muni within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.0018
σ
Overall volatility
0.14
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Blackrock Muni Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Blackrock Muni for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Blackrock Muni Inter can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Blackrock Muni Technical Analysis

Blackrock Muni's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Blackrock Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Blackrock Muni Intermediate. In general, you should focus on analyzing Blackrock Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Blackrock Muni Predictive Forecast Models

Blackrock Muni's time-series forecasting models is one of many Blackrock Muni's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Blackrock Muni's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Blackrock Muni Inter

Checking the ongoing alerts about Blackrock Muni for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Blackrock Muni Inter help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Other Information on Investing in Blackrock Fund

Blackrock Muni financial ratios help investors to determine whether Blackrock Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Blackrock with respect to the benefits of owning Blackrock Muni security.
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