Metropolitan Land (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 379.15

MTLA Stock  IDR 418.00  4.00  0.97%   
Metropolitan Land's future price is the expected price of Metropolitan Land instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Metropolitan Land Tbk performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Metropolitan Land Backtesting, Metropolitan Land Valuation, Metropolitan Land Correlation, Metropolitan Land Hype Analysis, Metropolitan Land Volatility, Metropolitan Land History as well as Metropolitan Land Performance.
  
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Metropolitan Land Target Price Odds to finish over 379.15

The tendency of Metropolitan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  379.15  in 90 days
 418.00 90 days 379.15 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Metropolitan Land to stay above  379.15  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Metropolitan Land Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Metropolitan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Metropolitan Land Tbk price to stay between  379.15  and its current price of 418.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 27.58 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Metropolitan Land Tbk has a beta of -0.29. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Metropolitan Land are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Metropolitan Land Tbk is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Metropolitan Land Tbk has an alpha of 0.0112, implying that it can generate a 0.0112 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Metropolitan Land Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Metropolitan Land

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Metropolitan Land Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
416.68418.00419.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
352.74354.06459.80
Details

Metropolitan Land Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Metropolitan Land is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Metropolitan Land's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Metropolitan Land Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Metropolitan Land within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.29
σ
Overall volatility
11.97
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Metropolitan Land Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Metropolitan Land for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Metropolitan Land Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Metropolitan Land generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 77.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Metropolitan Land Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Metropolitan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Metropolitan Land's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Metropolitan Land's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding7.7 B
Cash And Short Term Investments819.7 B

Metropolitan Land Technical Analysis

Metropolitan Land's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Metropolitan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Metropolitan Land Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Metropolitan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Metropolitan Land Predictive Forecast Models

Metropolitan Land's time-series forecasting models is one of many Metropolitan Land's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Metropolitan Land's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Metropolitan Land Tbk

Checking the ongoing alerts about Metropolitan Land for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Metropolitan Land Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Metropolitan Land generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 77.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Metropolitan Stock

Metropolitan Land financial ratios help investors to determine whether Metropolitan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Metropolitan with respect to the benefits of owning Metropolitan Land security.