Meso Numismatics Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 66.25
| MSSVDelisted Stock | USD 0.02 0 12.50% |
Meso |
Meso Numismatics Target Price Odds to finish over 66.25
The tendency of Meso Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 66.25 or more in 90 days |
| 0.02 | 90 days | 66.25 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Meso Numismatics to move over $ 66.25 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Meso Numismatics probability density function shows the probability of Meso Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Meso Numismatics price to stay between its current price of $ 0.02 and $ 66.25 at the end of the 90-day period is over 95.42 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Meso Numismatics has a beta of -0.17. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Meso Numismatics are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Meso Numismatics is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Meso Numismatics has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Meso Numismatics Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Meso Numismatics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Meso Numismatics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Meso Numismatics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Meso Numismatics Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Meso Numismatics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Meso Numismatics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Meso Numismatics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Meso Numismatics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Meso Numismatics Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Meso Numismatics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Meso Numismatics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Meso Numismatics is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Meso Numismatics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Meso Numismatics has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Meso Numismatics has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Meso Numismatics has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Meso Numismatics currently holds 11.84 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.93, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Meso Numismatics has a current ratio of 0.36, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Meso Numismatics until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Meso Numismatics' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Meso Numismatics sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Meso to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Meso Numismatics' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 475.26 K. Net Loss for the year was (12.88 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 145.25 K. | |
| Meso Numismatics currently holds about 1.92 M in cash with (9.88 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.16, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
Meso Numismatics Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Meso Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Meso Numismatics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Meso Numismatics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3 M |
Meso Numismatics Technical Analysis
Meso Numismatics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Meso Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Meso Numismatics. In general, you should focus on analyzing Meso Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Meso Numismatics Predictive Forecast Models
Meso Numismatics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Meso Numismatics' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Meso Numismatics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Meso Numismatics
Checking the ongoing alerts about Meso Numismatics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Meso Numismatics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Meso Numismatics is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Meso Numismatics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Meso Numismatics has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Meso Numismatics has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Meso Numismatics has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Meso Numismatics currently holds 11.84 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.93, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Meso Numismatics has a current ratio of 0.36, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Meso Numismatics until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Meso Numismatics' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Meso Numismatics sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Meso to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Meso Numismatics' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 475.26 K. Net Loss for the year was (12.88 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 145.25 K. | |
| Meso Numismatics currently holds about 1.92 M in cash with (9.88 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.16, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state. You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.
Other Consideration for investing in Meso Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in Meso Numismatics check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Meso Numismatics' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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