Marsh McLennan (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 182.72
| MSN Stock | EUR 204.10 0.70 0.34% |
Marsh |
Marsh McLennan Target Price Odds to finish below 182.72
The tendency of Marsh Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 182.72 or more in 90 days |
| 204.10 | 90 days | 182.72 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Marsh McLennan to drop to € 182.72 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Marsh McLennan Companies probability density function shows the probability of Marsh Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Marsh McLennan Companies price to stay between € 182.72 and its current price of €204.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 29.85 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Marsh McLennan has a beta of 0.28. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Marsh McLennan average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Marsh McLennan Companies will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Marsh McLennan Companies has an alpha of 0.0358, implying that it can generate a 0.0358 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Marsh McLennan Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Marsh McLennan
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Marsh McLennan Companies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Marsh McLennan Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Marsh McLennan is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Marsh McLennan's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Marsh McLennan Companies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Marsh McLennan within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.28 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.57 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Marsh McLennan Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Marsh McLennan for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Marsh McLennan Companies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Marsh McLennan has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Over 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Marsh McLennan Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Marsh Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Marsh McLennan's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Marsh McLennan's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 494.8 M |
Marsh McLennan Technical Analysis
Marsh McLennan's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Marsh Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Marsh McLennan Companies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Marsh Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Marsh McLennan Predictive Forecast Models
Marsh McLennan's time-series forecasting models is one of many Marsh McLennan's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Marsh McLennan's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Marsh McLennan Companies
Checking the ongoing alerts about Marsh McLennan for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Marsh McLennan Companies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Marsh McLennan has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Over 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Marsh Stock
When determining whether Marsh McLennan Companies offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Marsh McLennan's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Marsh Mclennan Companies Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Marsh Mclennan Companies Stock:Check out Marsh McLennan Backtesting, Marsh McLennan Valuation, Marsh McLennan Correlation, Marsh McLennan Hype Analysis, Marsh McLennan Volatility, Marsh McLennan History as well as Marsh McLennan Performance. You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.