MultiPlan Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 7.83

MPLNDelisted Stock  USD 23.15  0.36  1.53%   
MultiPlan's future price is the expected price of MultiPlan instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of MultiPlan performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out MultiPlan Backtesting, MultiPlan Valuation, MultiPlan Correlation, MultiPlan Hype Analysis, MultiPlan Volatility, MultiPlan History as well as MultiPlan Performance.
  
Please specify MultiPlan's target price for which you would like MultiPlan odds to be computed.

MultiPlan Target Price Odds to finish over 7.83

The tendency of MultiPlan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 7.83  in 90 days
 23.15 90 days 7.83 
about 83.19
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MultiPlan to stay above $ 7.83  in 90 days from now is about 83.19 (This MultiPlan probability density function shows the probability of MultiPlan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MultiPlan price to stay between $ 7.83  and its current price of $23.15 at the end of the 90-day period is about 70.17 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days MultiPlan has a beta of -0.41. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding MultiPlan are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, MultiPlan is likely to outperform the market. In addition to that MultiPlan has an alpha of 2.7433, implying that it can generate a 2.74 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   MultiPlan Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for MultiPlan

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MultiPlan. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.7322.9638.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.1117.3432.57
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.6217.8533.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.5824.1231.66
Details

MultiPlan Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MultiPlan is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MultiPlan's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MultiPlan, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MultiPlan within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
2.74
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.41
σ
Overall volatility
7.34
Ir
Information ratio 0.19

MultiPlan Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MultiPlan for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MultiPlan can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
MultiPlan is now traded under the symbol CTEV. Please update your portfolios or report it if you believe this is an error. Report It!
MultiPlan is way too risky over 90 days horizon
MultiPlan appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
MultiPlan has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 930.62 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.65 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 691.22 M.
Over 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: MultiPlan Corp Reports Q4 Revenue of 232.1 Million, Missing Estimates

MultiPlan Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MultiPlan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MultiPlan's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MultiPlan's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding16.1 B
Cash And Short Term Investments16.8 M

MultiPlan Technical Analysis

MultiPlan's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MultiPlan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MultiPlan. In general, you should focus on analyzing MultiPlan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

MultiPlan Predictive Forecast Models

MultiPlan's time-series forecasting models is one of many MultiPlan's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MultiPlan's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about MultiPlan

Checking the ongoing alerts about MultiPlan for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MultiPlan help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
MultiPlan is now traded under the symbol CTEV. Please update your portfolios or report it if you believe this is an error. Report It!
MultiPlan is way too risky over 90 days horizon
MultiPlan appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
MultiPlan has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 930.62 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.65 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 691.22 M.
Over 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: MultiPlan Corp Reports Q4 Revenue of 232.1 Million, Missing Estimates

Other Consideration for investing in MultiPlan Stock

If you are still planning to invest in MultiPlan check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the MultiPlan's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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