Monsenso (Denmark) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.42

MONSO Stock  DKK 0.36  0.01  2.86%   
Monsenso's future price is the expected price of Monsenso instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Monsenso AS performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Monsenso Backtesting, Monsenso Valuation, Monsenso Correlation, Monsenso Hype Analysis, Monsenso Volatility, Monsenso History as well as Monsenso Performance.
  
Please specify Monsenso's target price for which you would like Monsenso odds to be computed.

Monsenso Target Price Odds to finish over 0.42

The tendency of Monsenso Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over kr 0.42  or more in 90 days
 0.36 90 days 0.42 
about 84.84
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Monsenso to move over kr 0.42  or more in 90 days from now is about 84.84 (This Monsenso AS probability density function shows the probability of Monsenso Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Monsenso AS price to stay between its current price of kr 0.36  and kr 0.42  at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.85 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Monsenso AS has a beta of -0.61. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Monsenso are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Monsenso AS is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Monsenso AS has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Monsenso Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Monsenso

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Monsenso AS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.367.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.357.09
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.307.04
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.340.440.53
Details

Monsenso Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Monsenso is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Monsenso's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Monsenso AS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Monsenso within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.31
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.61
σ
Overall volatility
0.09
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Monsenso Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Monsenso for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Monsenso AS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Monsenso AS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Monsenso AS has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Monsenso AS has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Monsenso AS has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 7.14 M. Net Loss for the year was (8.15 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.7 M.
Monsenso AS has accumulated about 12.46 M in cash with (4.38 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.94, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 49.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Monsenso Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Monsenso Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Monsenso's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Monsenso's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding23.2 M
Shares Float15.9 M

Monsenso Technical Analysis

Monsenso's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Monsenso Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Monsenso AS. In general, you should focus on analyzing Monsenso Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Monsenso Predictive Forecast Models

Monsenso's time-series forecasting models is one of many Monsenso's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Monsenso's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Monsenso AS

Checking the ongoing alerts about Monsenso for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Monsenso AS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Monsenso AS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Monsenso AS has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Monsenso AS has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Monsenso AS has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 7.14 M. Net Loss for the year was (8.15 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.7 M.
Monsenso AS has accumulated about 12.46 M in cash with (4.38 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.94, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 49.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Monsenso Stock

Monsenso financial ratios help investors to determine whether Monsenso Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Monsenso with respect to the benefits of owning Monsenso security.