Moog Inc Preferred Stock Chance of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Under 217.29

MOG-B Preferred Stock  USD 210.74  5.17  2.39%   
Moog's future price is the expected price of Moog instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Moog Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Moog Backtesting, Moog Valuation, Moog Correlation, Moog Hype Analysis, Moog Volatility, Moog History as well as Moog Performance.
  
Please specify Moog's target price for which you would like Moog odds to be computed.

Moog Target Price Odds to finish below 217.29

The tendency of Moog Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 217.29  after 90 days
 210.74 90 days 217.29 
about 91.29
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Moog to stay under $ 217.29  after 90 days from now is about 91.29 (This Moog Inc probability density function shows the probability of Moog Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Moog Inc price to stay between its current price of $ 210.74  and $ 217.29  at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.07 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the preferred stock has the beta coefficient of 1.07 . This indicates Moog Inc market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Moog is expected to follow. Additionally Moog Inc has an alpha of 0.0748, implying that it can generate a 0.0748 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Moog Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Moog

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Moog Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
208.56210.74212.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
205.25207.43231.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
204.59206.77208.96
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
211.34215.92220.51
Details

Moog Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Moog is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Moog's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Moog Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Moog within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.07
σ
Overall volatility
10.64
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Moog Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Moog for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Moog Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has $826.35 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing
About 103.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Moog Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Moog Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Moog's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Moog's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.00
Short Percent Of Float0.01%
Float Shares33.08M
Shares Short Prior Month1
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day350
Average Daily Volume In Three Month164
Date Short InterestJuly 15, 2019
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield1.26%

Moog Technical Analysis

Moog's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Moog Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Moog Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Moog Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Moog Predictive Forecast Models

Moog's time-series forecasting models is one of many Moog's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Moog's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Moog Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Moog for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Moog Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has $826.35 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing
About 103.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Moog Preferred Stock

Moog financial ratios help investors to determine whether Moog Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Moog with respect to the benefits of owning Moog security.